History rarely repeats itself. But it does, occasionally, echo with uncomfortable clarity. When the wall fell in Berlin in 1989, it was not merely concrete that collapsed. It was an entire geopolitical order giving way under accumulated pressure—economic stagnation, ideological fatigue and, above all, a population no longer willing to tolerate division. Similar moments are rare. But the Horn of Africa may be edging toward one. Three decades after Eritrea’s independence from Ethiopia in 1993, the rigid separation between the two states is beginning to look less like a settled reality and more like an increasingly costly anomaly. The question…
Author: Yohannes Temesgen
At first glance, opposition to the international recognition of Somaliland appears to rest on a familiar principle: the preservation of Somalia’s territorial integrity. The Arab League and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) present their position as a defence of sovereignty and regional stability. In reality, this posture has far less to do with Somalia itself and much more to do with a wider geopolitical struggle unfolding across the Middle East, the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa. That struggle pits two competing regional visions against one another. On one side stand the forces driving political realignment and normalization,…
GERD is more than a hydropower project; it’s a geopolitical pivot. This analysis explores how the dam is shattering a century-old status quo and redefining power in North-East Africa. In the unforgiving arena of geopolitics, nations are driven by one primal instinct: survival. For too long, the narrative surrounding the Nile has been dictated by downstream powers, framing the river as their historical right and Ethiopia’s development as a threat. This era is over. The completion of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is more than an infrastructure project; it is a profound geopolitical pivot. It is the moment Ethiopia…